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Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future

Title:
Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future
Format:
Paperback
USA Price: 
Stock:
Low stock
GPO Stock Number:
008-000-01175-3
ISBN:
9781584877196
Description

With the world focused on the nuclear crisis in Iran, it is tempting to think that addressing this case, North Korea, and the problem of nuclear terrorism is all that matters and is what matters most. Perhaps, but if states become more willing to use their nuclear weapons to achieve military advantage, the problem of proliferation will become much more unwieldy. In this case, U.S. security will be hostage not just to North Korea, Iran, or terrorists, but to nuclear proliferation more generally, diplomatic miscalculations, and wars between a much larger number of possible players.

This, in a nutshell, is the premise of Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future, which explores what nuclear futures we may face over the next 3 decades and how we currently think about this future. Will nuclear weapons spread in the next 20 years to more nations than just North Korea and possibly Iran? How great will the consequences be? What can be done?

Other related products:

Foreign Relations of the United States, 1977-1980, Volume XXVI, Arms Control and Nonproliferation can be found here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/products/sku/044-000-02673-2

Nuclear Weapons Materials Gone Missing: What Does History Teach? can be found here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/products/sku/008-000-01130-3

Arms Control History collection can be found here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/catalog/us-military-history/arms-control-history

Arms & Weapons collection can be found here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/catalog/security-defense-law-enforcement/arms-...

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Figures ...........................................................................xv

Foreword .................................................................... xvii
Andrew W. Marshall

About the Contributors .……………….............……xix

List of Acronyms …………………….........................xxi

Introduction ……………….................................………1

What We Think …………………..............................….4
Reservations …………………..........................10
Optimists All ………………….........................25

Where We Are Headed ………………........................28
Looking Backward ………………...........…….28
Why Worry? ………………..............................36
Going Ballistic ………………...................……39
War Scenarios …………………........................42
China and the Nuclear Rivalries Ahead.........44
Other Interested Parties …................………...49

What Might Help ………………………..................…62
Thinking Ahead …………………................…80

Audience

Members of the military, policymakers, government officials, and those involved with U.S. national security would find this to be an informative read.

Reviews

Reviews:

 

NPEC  Nonproliferation Policy Education Center    Book Review Article -- Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Future, Second Edition  September 2016

"With the world focused on the nuclear crisis in Iran, it is tempting to think that addressing this case, North Korea, and the problem of nuclear terrorism is all that matters and is what matters most. Perhaps, but if states become more willing to use their nuclear weapons to achieve military advantage, the problem of proliferation will become much more unwieldy. In this case, U.S. security will be hostage not just to North Korea, Iran, or terrorists, but to nuclear proliferation more generally, diplomatic miscalculations, and wars between a much larger number of possible players.

This, in a nutshell, is the premise of Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future, which explores what we may be up against over the next few decades and how we currently think about this future. Will nuclear weapons spread in the next 20 years to more nations than just North Korea and possibly Iran? How great will the consequences be? What can be done?"

• The Diplomat praises Underestimated as a "thoughtful and sobering study."

• The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists showcases Underestimated in their first international book review telecast.

• Bruno Tertrais reviews Underestimated in IISS's journal, Survival: Global Politics and Strategy.

• The Weekly Standard calls Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future a "must read."

 

Featured in NATO Multimedia Library -Arms Control, Disarmament and Nonproliferation Books  

http://www.natolibguides.info/armscontrol/books

 

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists   Article: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future by Lucien Crowder  September 17, 2015  

"The book's central thesis is that if 'states become more willing to use their nuclear weapons to achieve military advantage... US security may become hostage to nuclear proliferation' and a number of dangers."

http://thebulletin.org/our-not-so-peaceful-nuclear-future8753

Product Details

Availability Details:
In Stock
USA Price:
$20.00
International Price:
$28.00
Publisher:
Defense Dept., Army, U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute
Author:
  • Sokolski, Henry D.
Year/Pages:
2015: 151 p.
Notes:
9781584877196
Key Phrases:
  • Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future
  • Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future
  • Nuclear Future
  • Nuclear Weapons
Weight:
0.5625
Quantity Price:
Discount
Cover:
Paper
Unit of Issue (US):
1
Unit of Issue (Non-US):
1
Item available Date:
03/10/2016
Last Status Update:
03/06/2017
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