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Annual Energy Outlook 2015 With Projections to 2040

Title:
Annual Energy Outlook 2015 With Projections to 2040
Format:
Paperback
USA Price: 
Stock:
In stock
GPO Stock Number:
061-003-01166-7
ISBN:
9780160927751
Description

Projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) focus on the factors expected to shape U.S. energy markets through 2040. The projections provide a basis for examination and discussion of energy market trends and serve as a starting point for analysis of potential changes in U.S. energy policies, rules, and regulations, as well as the potential role of advanced technologies.

This edition projects that U.S. energy imports and exports come into balance, a first since the 1950s, resulting from  continued oil and natural gas production growth and slow growth in energy demand.
 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR/AGENCY
The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) was prepared by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), under the direction of John J. Conti  Assistant Administrator of Energy Analysis; Paul D. Holtberg  Team Leader, Analysis Integration Team, Office of Integrated and International Energy Analysis; James R. Diefenderfer, Director, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis; Sam A. Napolitano  Director, Office of Integrated and International Energy Analysis; A. Michael Schaal Director, Office of Petroleum, Natural Gas, and Biofuels Analysis; James T. Turnure  Director, Office of Energy Consumption and Efficiency Analysis; and Lynn D. Westfall (Director, Office of Energy Markets and Financial Analysis.

Other products relating to the topic of energy include the following:

Foreign Relations of the United States, 1969-1976, Volume XXXVII, Energy Crisis, 1974-1980 can be found at this link: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/products/sku/044-000-02648-1?ctid=49

The Economic Effects Of Recent Increases In Energy Prices can be found at this link: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/products/sku/041-001-00637-1?ctid=49

Reducing Gasoline Consumption: Three Policy Options can be found here: https://bookstore.gpo.gov/products/sku/052-070-07347-1?ctid=49

 

Table of Contents

Preface. ii
Executive summary. ES-1
Introduction.... 1
Text box: Changes in release cycle for EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook .... 2
Economic growth…. 2
Energy prices........ 4
Crude oil... 4
Petroleum and other liquids products...... 5
Natural gas......... 6
Coal......... 7
Electricity...... 8
Delivered energy consumption by sector .......... 9
Transportation..... 9
Text box: Future gasoline vehicles are strong competitors when compared with other vehicle technology types on the basis of fuel economics ............. 11
Text box: The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 includes several types of light-duty vehicle hybrid technology ........................... 11
Industrial ........ 12
Residential and commercial   ....................... 13
Energy consumption by primary fuel .......... 15
Energy intensity..................... 16
Energy production, imports, and exports ..... 17
Petroleum and other liquids.......................... 18
Natural gas....................... 20
Coal............ 22
Electricity generation........... 24
Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions .... 26
List of acronyms ........................................ 29
Figure and Table Sources .......................................................................
Tables
Executive summary
ES-1. Growth of trade-related factors in the Reference case, 1983-2040  ..... ES-3
Introduction
1. Summary of AEO2015  cases........................................... 1
Economic growth
2. Growth in key economic factors in historical data and in the Reference case ..... 2
3. Average annual growth of labor productivity, employment, income, and consumption in three cases .. 4
Delivered energy consumption by sector
4. Residential households and commercial indicators in three AEO2015 cases, 2013 and 2040 .......... 14
Appendix E
E1. Comparison of projections in the AEO2015 and AEO2014 Reference cases, 2012-2040 ............E-2
Appendixes
A. Reference case..... A-1
B. Economic growth case comparisons ... B-1
C. Price case comparisons.......... C-1
D. High oil and gas resource case comparisons.......... D-1
E. Comparison of AEO2015 and AEO2014 Reference cases and key updates to models and data..... E-1
F. Regional Maps.... F-1
G. Conversion factors...... G-1
Figures
Executive summary
ES-1. North Sea Brent crude oil spot prices in four cases, 2005-40 ....................................... ES-2
ES-2. Average Henry Hub spot prices for natural gas in four cases, 2005-40................ ES-2
ES-3. U.S. net energy imports in six cases, 2005-40 ...................................................... ES-3
ES-4. Net crude oil and petroleum product imports as a percentage of U.S. product supplied
in four cases, 2005-40................... ES-4
ES-5. U.S. total net natural gas imports in four cases, 2005-40 ...................................... ES-4
ES-6. Change in U.S. Lower 48 onshore crude oil production by region in six cases, 2013-40 ......... ES-5
ES-7. Delivered energy consumption for transportation in six cases, 2008-40.... ES-6
ES-8. Total U.S. renewable generation in all sectors by fuel in six cases, 2013 and 2040 .. ES-7
Economic growth
1. Annual changes in U.S. gross domestic product, business investment, and exports
in the Reference case, 2015-40......... 3
2. Annual growth rates for industrial output in three cases, 2013-40........... 3
Energy prices
3. North Sea Brent crude oil prices in three cases, 2005-40 ......... 5
4. Motor gasoline prices in three cases, 2005-40...................... 5
5. Distillate fuel oil prices in three cases, 2005-40................................................ 5
6. Average Henry Hub spot prices for natural gas in four cases, 2005-40.... 6
7. Average minemouth coal prices by region in the Reference case, 1990-2040... 7
8. Average delivered coal prices in six cases, 1990-2040............ 8
9. Average retail electricity prices in six cases, 2013-40........................ 8
Delivered energy consumption by sector
10. Delivered energy consumption for transportation by mode in the Reference case, 2013 and 2040......10
11. Delivered energy consumption for transportation in six cases, 2008-40................. 10
12. Industrial sector total delivered energy consumption in three cases, 2010-40....... 12
13. Industrial sector natural gas consumption for heat and power in three cases, 2010-40......... 12
14. Residential sector delivered energy consumption by fuel in the Reference case, 2010-40............... 13
15. Commercial sector delivered energy consumption by fuel in the Reference case, 2010-40............... 13
16. Residential sector delivered energy intensity for selected end uses in the Reference case, 2013 and 2040 ....... 15
17. Commercial sector delivered energy intensity for selected end uses in the Reference case, 2013 and 2040 ................ 15
18. Primary energy consumption by fuel in the Reference case, 1980-2040................. 15
Energy intensity
19. Energy use per capita and per 2009 dollar of gross domestic product, and carbon dioxide emissions
per 2009 dollar of gross domestic product, in the Reference case, 1980-2040 ...................................... 17
Energy production, imports, and exports
20. Total energy production and consumption in the Reference case, 1980-2040 .......... 17
21. U.S. tight oil production in four cases, 2005-40 ........................................................ 18
22. U.S. total crude oil production in four cases, 2005-40 .............................................. 18
23. U.S. net crude oil imports in four cases, 2005-40 ......................................................19
24. U.S. net petroleum product imports in four cases, 2005-40 ....................................................... 20
25. U.S. total dry natural gas production in four cases, 2005-40 ..................................................... 20
26. U.S. shale gas production in four cases, 2005-40 .................................................................... 21
27. U.S. total natural gas net imports in four cases, 2005-40 ......................................................... 21
28. U.S. liquefied natural gas net imports in four cases, 2005-40 ................................................. 22
29. U.S. coal production in six cases, 1990-2040 .......................................................................... 23
30. U.S. coal exports in six cases, 1990-2040 ................................................................................23
Electricity generation
31. Electricity generation by fuel in the Reference case, 2000-2040 ............................................24
32. Electricity generation by fuel in six cases, 2013 and 2040 ..................................................... 24
33. Coal and natural gas combined-cycle generation capacity factors in two cases, 2010-40 .......25
34. Renewable electricity generation byfuel type in the Reference case, 2000-2040 ................... 25
35. Cumulative additions to electricity generation capacity by fuel in six cases, 2013-40 ........... 26
Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions
36. Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions in six cases. 2000-2040 .......................................... 26
37. Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by sector in the Reference case, 2005, 2013, 2025, and 2040 ...................... 27
Appendix E
E1. Average annual Brent crude oil spot prices in the AEO2015 and AEO2014 Reference cases, 1990-2040 ................... E-6
E2. Delivered energy consumption by end-use sector in the AEO2015 and AEO2014 Reference cases,
2013, 2020, 2030, and 2040 .......................................................................................... E-8
E3. Primary energy consumption by fuel in the AEO2015 and AEO2014 Reference cases, 2013 and 2040 .......... E-9
E4. Total energy production and consumption in the AEO2015 and AEO2014 Reference cases, 1980-2040 .................. E-10
E5. Share of U.S. liquid fuels supply from net imports in the AEO2015 and AEO2014 Reference cases, 1970-2040 ..... E-10
E6. Electricity generation by fuel in the AEO2015 and AEO2014 Reference cases, 2013, 2020, 2030, and 2040 ........... E-12
Appendix F
F1. United States Census Divisions...................... F-1
F2. Electricity market module regions.................. F-3
F3. Liquid fuels market module regions............... F-4
F4. Oil and gas supply model regions................... F-5
F5. Natural gas transmission and distribution model regions.... F-6
F6. Coal supply regions............................................ F-7
F7. Coal demand regions.......................................... F-8

Audience

This would be of interest to those involved with nuclear energy, renewable energy, and oil and natural gas production.

Product Details

Availability Details:
In Stock
USA Price:
$25.00
International Price:
$35.00
Publisher:
Energy Dept., Energy Information Administration
Year/Pages:
2015: 152 p.; ill.
Key Phrases:
  • DOE EIA 0383 2015
  • Energy Outlook
  • Annual Reports, Energy Department
  • Energy Prices
  • Energy Consumption
  • Petroleum Industry
  • Electricity
Weight:
1.0625
Quantity Price:
Discount
Cover:
Paper
Unit of Issue (US):
1
Unit of Issue (Non-US):
1
Item available Date:
05/20/2015
Last Status Update:
03/08/2017
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